It would appear record inventories of Iron ore and plunging prices due to China’s shadow-banking unwind have started to weigh on the all-too-important-when-it-is-going-up-but-let’s-blame-supply-when-dropping Baltic Dry Index. With the worst start to a year in over a decade, the recent recovery in prices provided faint hope that the worst of the global trade collapse was over… however, today’s 8% plunge – on par with the biggest drops in the last 6 years – suggests things are far from self-sustaining. Still think we are insulated from the arcane China shadow-banking system, which suddenly everyone is an expert of suddenly? Think again.
Why? Perhaps the following chart showing Chinese iron ore steel stockpiles at the country’s 34 major ports will provide the answer: